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Description
The bright M2.5 dwarf K2-18 (M_s_=0.36M_{sun}_, R_s_=0.41R_{sun}_) at 34 pc is known to host a transiting super-Earth-sized planet orbiting within the star's habitable zone; K2-18b. Given the superlative nature of this system for studying an exoplanetary atmosphere receiving similar levels of insolation as the Earth, we aim to characterize the planet's mass which is required to interpret atmospheric properties and infer the planet's bulk composition. We have obtained precision radial velocity measurements with the HARPS spectrograph. We then coupled those measurements with the K2 photometry to jointly model the observed radial velocity variation with planetary signals and a correlated stellar activity model based on Gaussian process regression. We measured the mass of K2-18b to be 8.0+/-1.9M_{sun}_ with a bulk density of 3.3+/-1.2g/cm^3^ which may correspond to a predominantly rocky planet with a significant gaseous envelope or an ocean planet with a water mass fraction >~50%. We also find strong evidence for a second, warm super-Earth K2-18c (m_p,c_sin(i_c_)=7.5+/-1.3M_{sun}_) at approximately nine days with a semi-major axis ~2.4 times smaller than the transiting K2-18b. After re-analyzing the available light curves of K2-18 we conclude that K2-18c is not detected in transit and therefore likely has an orbit that is non-coplanar with the orbit of K2-18b although only a small mutual inclination is required for K2-18c to miss a transiting configuration; |{Delta}i|~1-2{deg}. A suite of dynamical integrations are performed to numerically confirm the system's dynamical stability. By varying the simulated orbital eccentricities of the two planets, dynamical stability constraints are used as an additional prior on each planet's eccentricity posterior from which we constrain e_b_<0.43 and e_c_<0.47 at the level of 99% confidence. The discovery of the inner planet K2-18c further emphasizes the prevalence of multi-planet systems around M dwarfs. The characterization of the density of K2-18b reveals that the planet likely has a thick gaseous envelope which, along with its proximity to the solar system, makes the K2-18 planetary system an interesting target for the atmospheric study of an exoplanet receiving Earth-like insolation.
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